Trying to figure out exactly when the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates might be like trying to predict when the next major terrorist attack will occur. I am not really equating the two, just pointing out that both scenarios can be difficult to predict. You could rationalize that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in December, after the U.S. Presidential election. However, it ultimately depends on how the economic data looks between now and then.
Although we don’t know whether the next interest rate hike will take place in September, December, or in 2017, it is likely that a series of hikes will take place sometime in the near future. Those hikes will help banks increase profits. As the Federal funds rate is increased, banks will be earning more on the cash that they hold.
Since economic growth has been incremental as evident in low GDP growth, this interest rate increase cycle is likely to also be slow and incremental. The increases are li kely to be small 0.25% increases over long stretches of time. Therefore, the banks are likely to benefit over multiple years before interest rates get to the point of slowing down lending, thus leading to recession.
stock advice: Franco-Nevada Corporation(FNV)
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Given revised commodity deck forecasts (particularly for Steel and Gold) and improved Balance Sheet health (Steels, Precious and Industrials Metals) we are upgrading our ratings on several stocks in our coverage. We generally favor companies that have already initiated specific self-help, have low-cost assets and are less exposed to China supply and demand dynamics. In Steels, we have increased our rating from Hold to Buy on Nucor (NUE) and from Sell to Hold on US Steel. We have also upgraded Kinross Gold (KGC) to a Hold on valuation…On higher-than-peer valuations, we reiterate Sell-rated Coeur Mining (CDE), Franco-Nevada (FNV), Goldcorp (GG), Teck Resources (TCK) and highly leveraged AK Steel given preference to issue further equity if possible.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Deutsche Bank’s Jorge Beristain and Chris Terry released their earnings preview for the gold miners–including Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), Franco-Nevada (FNV), and Coeur Mining (CDE)–and conclude that only one gold miner deserves a Buy rating: Newmont Mining (NEM). They explain why:
stock advice: Heico Corporation(HEI)
- [By Monica Gerson]
Heico Corp (NYSE: HEI) is estimated to post its quarterly earnings at $0.54 per share.
Exa Corp (NASDAQ: EXA) is projected to post a quarterly loss at $0.08 per share on revenue of $16.68 million.
- [By Shauna O’Brien]
Heico Corp (HEI) announced on Thursday that it has agreed to purchase Lucix Corp, a manufacturer of military satellite, airborne, and ground systems.
The terms of the deal were not disclosed, but HEI revealed that the acquisition could be completed within 60 days. The deal is expected to impact HEI’s earnings within the first year.
Heico shares were up 67 cents, or 1.04%, during Thursday morning trading. The stock is up 46% YTD.
stock advice: HP Inc.(HPQ)
- [By Anders Bylund]
Shares of HP Inc. (NYSE:HPQ) rose 15.4% in February 2017, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence.
The big jump came late in the month. HP reported first-quarter 2017 results on Feb. 22, leaving Wall Street’s estimates far behind despite modest revenue growth and flat earnings. Investors chose to ignore a gloomy slate of second-quarter guidance targets, and share prices soared as much as 10% higher the next day.
- [By Peter Graham]
The full Q4 2016 earnings report for small cap 3D printing stockStratasys, Ltd (NASDAQ: SSYS)is scheduled for before the market opens onThursday (March 9th). Its hard to see 3D printing stocks regaining their former highs any time soon as HP Inc (NYSE: HPQ) has entered the3D printer market with its Jet Fusion 3D. However,it appears that 3D printing stockshave stabilized as the short interest has largely been cleared out.
- [By Tim Brugger]
HP (NYSE:HPQ) enjoyed nearly unanimous positive industry reviews surrounding its slew of new or upgraded devices released at the recent Consumer Electronics Show (CES). While the multiple devices wowed at CES, it could be argued that HP’s approach to product sales, as much as the products themselves, is what’s driving its success in the PC market. Taking that a step further, the same tack HP so clearly exhibited at CES should turn its printing fortunes around as well.
stock advice: Omeros Corporation(OMER)
- [By Lisa Levin] Related CXW Trump Or Clinton: Who Would Create More Jobs? The 2016 Economics Nobel Prize Winner's Case Against Private Prisons: Contracts Are The Key Wall Street Breakfast: Trump Takes The White House (Seeking Alpha) Related SAEX 20 Biggest Mid-Day Losers For Friday 22 Stocks Moving In Friday's Pre-Market Session SAExploration wins $35M seismic data deal (Seeking Alpha)
Gainers Corrections Corp Of America (NYSE: CXW) shares rose 16.3 percent to $16.50 in pre-market trading following Donald Trump's victory. SAExploration Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: SAEX) shares rose 15.4 percent to $7.26 in pre-market trading after the company reported a new $35 million deep water ocean-bottom marine project award. The GEO Group Inc (NYSE: GEO) shares rose 12.9 percent to $26.95 in pre-market trading following Donald Trump's victory. Cloud Peak Energy Inc. (NYSE: CLD) rose 12.3 percent to $7.40 in pre-market trading after gaining 0.30 percent on Tuesday. Ariad Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ: ARIA) rose 11.7 percent to $10.35 in pre-market trading. Ariad Pharmaceuticals disclosed that its Phase 1/2 trial data on investigational drug brigatinib were published in The Lancet Oncology. AK Steel Holding Corporation (NYSE: AKS) rose 11.2 percent to $6.75 in pre-market trading after gaining 3.23 percent on Tuesday. Pretium Resources Inc (NYSE: PVG) rose 11 percent to $10.50 in pre-market trading after declining 1.66 percent on Tuesday. First Majestic Silver Corp (NYSE: AG) rose 9.3 percent to $8.90 in the pre-market trading session. First Majestic reported Q3 earnings of $0.07 per share on revenue of $79.3 million. Silver futures gained 2.2 percent to $18.77 an ounce. Dicerna Pharmaceuticals Inc (NASDAQ: DRNA) rose 9.2 percent to
- [By Paul Ausick]
Stocks on the move: Boise Inc. (NYSE: BZ) is up 26% at $12.55 following the companys acquisition by Packaging Corporation of America Inc. (NYSE: PKG) for $12.55 a share ($1.28 billion). Omeros Corp. (NASDAQ: OMER) is up 68.2% at $8.56 following an analyst upgrade. Northern Dynasty Minerals Ltd. (NYSEArca: NAK) is down 33.3% at $1.48 following an announcement from Anglo American plc that it was withdrawing from a massive copper mining project in Alaska.
- [By Monica Gerson]
Omeros (NASDAQ: OMER) shares fell 2.80% to $8.32 in the pre-market trading. Omeros shares have dropped 9.80% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 index has gained 16.18% in the same period.
stock advice: Vanguard Natural Resources LLC(VNR)
- [By Cameron Swinehart]
Going forward I will be looking to add investments on my watchlist and trim other positions. It will be interesting to see how an overweight commodity portfolio will perform relative to the rest of the market.
Cost Basis# SharesCurrent Price% of PortfolioCurrent ValueReturnMetal/Miners Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS)$12.4985$11.043.75%$938.40-13.13%Sprott Physical Silver Trust (PSLV)$7.95125$8.744.37%$1,092.509.04%FreePort-McMoran (FCX)$31.6731$33.874.20%$1,049.976.50%Ishares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (RING)$13.0695$10.644.04%$1,010.80-22.74%Energy Statoil ASA(STO)$21.7940$22.683.63%$907.203.92%Vanguard Natural Resources LLC (VNR)$27.5636$27.874.01%$1,003.321.11%ConocoPhillips (COP)$63.6822.43$71.006.37%$1,592.5310.31%Agriculture CVR Partner LP (UAN)$26.3630.9$18.932.34%$584.94-39.25%Adecoagro$6.78125$7.443.72%$930.008.87%Archer-Daniels Midland (ADM)$34.80 30$37.244.47%$1,117.206.55%Mixed Commodity Powershares DB Commodity Index (DBC)$26.3540$25.954.15%$1,038.00-1.54%Sprott Resource Corp$3.34400$2.714.34%$1,084.00-23.25% Total % of portfolio49.40% Cost Basis12,666.00 Current Value12,348.86 Return-2.50% Source: Investing For The Future Surge In Commodity Prices
Disclosure: I am long ADM, FCX, UAN, AGRO, RING, VNR, SCPZF.PK, COP, DBC, PHYS, PSLV. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. (More…)
stock advice: Nustar Energy L.P.(NS)
- [By Roberto Pedone]
One technology player that insiders are active in here is Jive Software (NS), which provides a social business software platform to businesses, government agencies, and other enterprises. Insiders are buying this stock into massive weakness, since shares are down sharply by 43% so far in 2014.
Jive Software has a market cap of $446 million and an enterprise value of $365 million. This stock trades at a fair valuation, with a price-to-sales of 2.68 and a price-to-book of 5.67. Its estimated growth rate for this year is 45.5%, and for next year it’s pegged at 30%. This is a cash-rich company, since the total cash position on its balance sheet is $98.18 million and its total debt is $6.60 million.
A director just bought 260,819 shares, or about $1.71 million worth of stock, at $6.53 to $6.60 per share.
From a technical perspective, JIVE is currently trending just above its 50-day moving average and below its 200-day moving average, which is neutral trendwise. This stock recently pulled back off its short-term high of $7.14 a share with heavy downside volume flows. That drop has now pushed the stock to right above its 50-day moving average at $6.10 a share.
If you’re bullish on JIVE, then I would look for long-biased trades as long as this stock is trending above its 50-day at $6.10 a share and then once it breaks out above some key near-term overhead resistance levels at $7.14 a share to its 200-day moving average of $7.43 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average action of 557,678 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then JIVE will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels $8.50 to $9 a share, or even $9.50 to $10 a share.
Must Read: 10 Stocks George Soros Is Buying