A few days ago, an article about Nike (NYSE:NKE) argued that “Nike’s shares aren’t priced to buy.” The reasoning was that “Nike is, at best, fairly valued. And it certainly isn’t trading hands at fire-sale prices.” The question is: should you expect (and wait for) fire-sales prices? Most value investors know the maxim that it is better to buy a great business at a fair price than to buy a mediocre business at low price. We think that Nike is a great business at a fair price. We have been waiting for Nike’s price to come down for a long time and meanwhile, we have sold PUT options, though unfortunately these options have never been exercised (but we cashed-in premiums). Today, we bought the stock.
Reasons to avoid the stock
We invest with a long-term view and therefore we ask long-term questions:
Has the management of Nike changed its strategy? Is Nike’s long-term strategy ultimately going to fail? Is there anything that can or has damaged the Nike bran d?
Of course, competition is there, but is there any industry where there is no long-term competition? Under Armour (NYSE:UAA), Adidas (OTCQX:ADDDF), Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU) are all good companies, but they have always been there. Under Armour and Lululemon are perceived as new entrants, but they were actually founded 20 years ago (in 1996 and 1998), Adidas is almost a century old, while Nike is “only” 52-years old. So, what has changed? These industries move in waves, but the quality of the Nike brand, its management, and innovation have been a constant. In sum, if your answer to any of the previous questions is YES, then you should reconsider our investment thesis. If it is NO, then we can move on to the next paragraph.
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Shutterfly Inc.(SFLY)
- [By Chris Lange]
When Shutterfly Inc. (NASDAQ: SFLY) released its fourth-quarter earnings report after the markets closed on Wednesday, the company said it had $2.63 in earnings per share (EPS) and $561.2 million in revenue. The consensus estimates had called for $2.84 in EPS and revenue of $586.4 million. In the same period of last year, it posted EPS of $3.57 and $548.1 million in revenue.
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Westell Technologies, Inc.(WSTL)
- [By Jim Robertson]
Today, our Under the Radar Moversnewsletter suggested small cap high-performance wireless infrastructure solutions stock Westell Technologies (NASDAQ: WSTL) as a buy for our short-term portfolio:
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Graham Corporation(GHM)
- [By Monica Gerson]
Graham Corporation (NYSE: GHM) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.12 per share on revenue of $23.54 million.
Heico Corp (NYSE: HEI) is estimated to post its quarterly earnings at $0.54 per share.
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Terex Corporation(TEX)
- [By Reuben Gregg Brewer]
Ever walk past a construction site? It’s hard not to be enthralled by all the heavy construction machinery moving things around. With the world’s developing economies still building at a relatively fast pace and developing economies, like the United States, in desperate need of upgrading their aging infrastructure, the companies behind that construction machinery could be just as exciting as a construction site in the years ahead. Which is why Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT), Cummins Inc. (NYSE:CMI), and Terex Corporation (NYSE:TEX) are three of the top construction machinery stocks to look at right now.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Third and a trigger for the change: China becomes an active bidder in the space. Chinas Zoomlion bid for Terex (TEX) ($3.3B) along with Haier/General Electric (GE) ($5.4B) and several ChemChina proposed deals in industrials changes the upside/downside skew, particularly on lower quality/more challenged names. The Terex bid does not appear to be one-off. Chinese outbound M&A announcements rose to record highs in 15; to $112B (up 57% from 2014) in total acquisitions. Industrials formed a large and rising portion, at ~12B completed. Thats roughly equal to the 3 prior years industrials deals combined, and is the highest on record. Energy and materials accounted for ~15% of 15 spend vs. ~83% in 2011. Even lower quality or more currently challenged machinery franchises have distribution which could be highly attractive to new entrants…
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Yesterday, Terex (TEX) announced that it would sell its ports business to Konecranes for $1.3 billion. Today, Baird’s Mircea Dobre and Joseph Grabowski upgraded Terex to Outperform from Neutral, arguing that the sale makes a takeover by China’s Zoomlion that much easier. They explain:
Balint Porneczi/Bloomberg News
The sale of MHPS to Konecranes is a positive catalyst on multiple fronts: shareholders got an attractive multiple for what historically has been a challenged business with further upside possible given 25% equity ownership in Konecranes, execution risk is diminished as new CEO can focus on operational improvement without the effort required to integrate the Terex and Konecranes businesses, and finally, the MHPS sale makes it easier for Zoomlion to acquire remaining Terex.
While our upgrade is not reliant on Zoomlion acquiring Terex, the MHPS transaction could make a firm Zoomlion offer more likely.
At the margin, a Zoomlion deal appears easier to get done: 1) the remaining businesses fit better with Zoomlions existing product portfolio of construction equipment, cranes, and various commercial and municipal equipment, 2) given the attractive terms of the MHPS sale, the funding hurdle required to acquire Terex is lowered, 3) many of the CFIUS issues center around national security concerns regarding the nations ports, no longer a concern given MHPS sale.
Dobre and Grabowski also raised their price target on Terex to $30, up from $24. With Terex off 0.1% at $24.88 today, that leaves 21% upside in the stock to Baird’s target.
In February, I wrote about Chinese demand for U.S. companies, including Terex.
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: PulteGroup, Inc.(PHM)
- [By Peter Graham]
A long term performance chart shows KB Home along with large cap D.R. Horton, Inc (NYSE: DHI) and mid capsLennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN) and PulteGroup, Inc (NYSE: PHM) somewhat range bound or volatile for the past four years:
- [By The Ticker Tape]
D.R. Horton and PulteGroup (PHM) are expected to report Q2 earnings on April 20th. Both companies beat analyst’s revenue and earnings expectations last quarter. Looking at Figure 1 below, all three of the major U.S. homebuilders have outperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date.
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Digital Realty Trust Inc.(DLR)
- [By Lisa Levin]
DuPont Fabros Technology, Inc. (NYSE: DFT) shares shot up 10 percent to $61.07. Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: DLR) announced plans to merge with DuPont Fabros.
- [By Benzinga News Desk]
Last year was brutal for hedge fund investors — but you wouldn’t know it from the fund managers’ paychecks: Link
ECONOMIC DATA The MBA’s index of mortgage application activity for the latest week is schedule for release at 7:00 a.m. ET. The Energy Information Administration’s weekly report on petroleum inventories in the U.S. will be released at 10:30 a.m. ET. ANALYST RATINGS Jefferies Upgraded ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) from Hold to Buy JPMorgan Upgraded Clovis Oncology (NASDAQ: CLVS) From Neutral to Overweight Morgan Stanley Upgrades TJX Companies (NYSE: TJX) From Equal-Weight to Overweight Macquarie Downgraded Disney (NYSE: DIS) from Outperform to Neutral Deutsche Bank Downgraded AvalonBay (NYSE: AVB) from Buy to Hold Wells Fargo Downgrades Digital Realty Trust (NYSE: DLR) From Outperform To Market Perform
This is a tool used by the Benzinga News Desk each trading day — it's a look at everything happening in the market, in five minutes. To get the full version of this note every morning, click here or email firstname.lastname@example.org.
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Ideal Power Inc.(IPWR)
- [By Jim Robertson]
On Thursday, our Under the Radar Moversnewslettersuggested smallcap electrical power conversion product stock Ideal Power Inc (NASDAQ: IPWR)as a long trade:
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Francesca's Holdings Corporation(FRAN)
- [By Lisa Levin] Related LOV Match Group And Spark Networks: A Valentine's Day Case Study 20 Biggest Mid-Day Losers For Thursday Related VKTX 15 Biggest Mid-Day Losers For Tuesday 18 Biggest Mid-Day Losers For Wednesday Companies Reporting Before The Bell Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ: CSIQ) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.32 per share on revenue of $690.27 million. General Mills, Inc. (NYSE: GIS) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.71 per share on revenue of $3.84 billion. Coca-Cola European Partners Plc (NYSE: CCE) is estimated to report its quarterly earnings at $0.45 per share on revenue of $2.72 billion. Lands' End, Inc. (NASDAQ: LE) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.35 per share on revenue of $459.43 million. Francesca's Holdings Corp (NASDAQ: FRAN) is estimated to report its quarterly earnings at $0.37 per share on revenue of $145.91 million. Cheetah Mobile Inc (ADR) (NYSE: CMCM) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.06 per share on revenue of $178.04 million. Neogen Corporation (NASDAQ: NEOG) is estimated to report its quarterly earnings at $0.27 per share on revenue of $90.05 million. Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN) is projected to post earnings for its first quarter. Fifth Street Asset Management Inc (NASDAQ: FSAM) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.14 per share on revenue of $25.12 million.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Francesca’s Holdings (FRAN) has jumped 5.4% to $11.00 after beating earnings forecasts.
Restoration Hardware (RH) has tumbled 20% to $28.92 after slashing its full-year guidance. Restoration Hardware was also cut to Market Perform from Outperform at Telsey Advisory Group.
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Murphy Oil Corporation(MUR)
- [By Ben Levisohn]
It wasn’t just Marathon that got clipped as the eight worst-performing stocks in the S&P 500 came from the energy sector, including Murphy Oil (MUR), which fell 6.7% to $25.87, Devon Energy (DVN), which slid 6.5% to $40.72, and Chesapeake Energy (CHK), which stumbled 6.1% to $4.94. No surprise, then, that the Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) slumped 2.6% to $69.65.
- [By Matt Egan]
Before Tuesday, Big Oil’s credit ratings had been left largely intact by S&P. But with oil sinking back to $30 a barrel, the ratings firm took action by downgrading Chevron (CVX), EOG Resources (EOG), Apache (APA), Devon Energy (DVN), Hess (HES), Marathon Oil (MRO), Murphy Oil (MUR), Continental Resources (CLR) and Southwestern Energy (SWN).
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Today, it was all about oil afterOPEC “reached an understanding” on capping oil production. And that made Murphy Oil (MUR) the hottest stock in the S&P 500.
Top 10 Low Price Stocks To Watch Right Now: Applied Materials, Inc.(AMAT)
- [By Chris Neiger]
Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) makes equipment that allows companies to manufacture semiconductors, displays, and other components for some of the most advanced technology on the planet. And just like other tech companies, Applied has to stay ahead of new trends so that it can provide the latest equipment to its customers.
- [By William Patalon III]
Shares of chip-equipment leader Applied Materials Inc. (Nasdaq: AMAT) have zoomed 80% since we brought them to you in May 2014.
And they’ve jumped 8% since we re-recommended the stock back on Jan. 31.
- [By Chris Lange]
Short interest in Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) rose to 13.95 million shares. The previous reading was 13.21 million. Shares were trading at $38.55, in a 52-week range of $19.46 to $39.81.
- [By Sean Williams]
A final company income seekers would be wise to give a look is Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT). Applied Materials provides manufacturing equipment to semiconductor companies, meaning its business tends to be highly cyclical. If the economy is performing well, Applied Materials is probably excelling. But if semiconductor spending is down, Applied Materials is likely struggling.