Stocks fell today in tandem with U.S. Treasury bonds, raising concerns that the market might not be able to withstand higher interest rates.
The S&P 500 fell 0.3% to 2,133.04 today, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 29.65 points, or 0.2%, to 18,169.68. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.7% to 5,215.97. 10-year Treausry notes fell as their yields rose to 1.843%, its highest close since June (price moves in opposite direction of yields).
Despite fears that rising rates could sink stocks, that’s been a rare occurrence, says Convergex’s Nicholas Colas:
The last time both U.S. Treasuries and the S&P 500 both posted calendar year losses was 1969 and this unusual situation has only happened 3 times since 1928. While this is an unlikely outcome for 2016, it is not too early to consider the possibility for 2017. On the bond side of the analysis we have Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellens recent speech, where she considered the possibility of allowing a High-pressure economy in order to offset the lingering effects of the Great Recession. Good for growth, perhaps, but not for bonds since they will have to factor in a greater risk of structural inflation. Stocks will also have to negotiate a delicate balance should this become Fed policy, with accelerating earnings growth (even in the face of higher wage/cost pressures) to offset the valuation compression of higher rates. Yes, a simultaneous drop in stocks and bonds over an entire year is rare. But not unprecedented. And, perhaps, overdue.
technical analysis : Pilot Gold Inc (PLGTF)
- [By SEEKINGALPHA.COM]
Wesdome Gold (OTC:WDOFF) is confirming the potential of its Kiena Deeps discovery with the latest batch of drill results from this venue. Itinerant Musings subscribers who joined us in this trade will be pleased. Treasury Metals (OTC:TSRMF) needs to find more underground ore to justify a construction decision of its Goliath gold project, and it’s doing just that as reported in the latest news release and explained in this article. NuLegacy Gold (OTCQX:NULGF) finally announced results from the twin hole of the Avocado discovery. A detailed discussion will be forthcoming for Itinerant Musings subscribers shortly. Pilot Gold (OTCPK:PLGTF) is making progress at its Goldstrike project in Utah. The latest set of results confirmed the Peg Leg and Covington targets as valid targets for further drilling. Arizona Mining (OTC:WLDVF) is countering controversy by releasing more drill results, and reporting the discovery of Taylor Deeps. The roller coaster continues.
technical analysis: Papa Murphy's Holdings, Inc.(FRSH)
- [By Peter Graham]
The Q4 earnings report forsmall cap Take ‘N’ Bake pizza chain stock Papa Murphy’s Holdings (NASDAQ: FRSH) is scheduled for after the market closes on Wednesday (March 15th). In February, our Under the Radar Moversnewsletter suggested shorting the stock by saying:
- [By Jim Robertson]
On Friday, our Under the Radar Moversnewsletter suggested shorting small cap Take ‘N’ Bake pizza chain stock Papa Murphy’s Holdings (NASDAQ: FRSH):
technical analysis: Leucadia National Corporation(LUK)
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Lee offers 22 stocks that could benefit from the correlation trade: Western Digital (WDC), Xerox (XRX), First Solar, Ford Motor, Best Buy (BBY), PulteGroup (PHM), AutoNation (AN), Textron (TXT), Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC), Mosaic, BB&T (BBT), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB),Loews (L), Regions Financial (RF), KeyCorp (KEY), Comerica (CMA), Leucadia National (LUK), Zions Bancorp (ZION), Valero Energy (VLO), Marathon Oil, Cardinal Health (CAH), and Pepco Holdings (POM).
- [By Michael Hooper]
When compared with similar companies, Berkshire Hathaway carries a premium over Markel (NYSE: MKL ) , valued at 1.15 times book value and a 20 forward P/E ratio; and Leucadia National (NYSE: LUK ) , valued at 1.10 times book value and a 7.16 trailing P/E.
- [By Dan Caplinger]
Leucadia National (NYSE:LUK) is a difficult business for many investors to understand. The combination of the Jefferies Group financial services company, the National Beef meat processing and supply company, and plenty of other smaller investments present a challenge for those seeking to know the ins and outs of what affects Leucadia’s results. In general, though, conditions in the financial industry have been more volatile than the rest of the business, and Jefferies, therefore, plays a bigger role in how the overall company does.
technical analysis: Dover Corporation(DOV)
- [By Jon C. Ogg]
Dover Corp. (NYSE: DOV) was at $75.19 at the end of 2016 and the firm has a $85.00 price objective. This is 13% in implied upside for Dover, before considering its 2.3% dividend yield.
technical analysis: Star Bulk Carriers Corp.(SBLK)
- [By James E. Brumley]
When most investors think of potential competitive threats to drybulk shippers like Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (NASDAQ:SBLK) or Euroseas Ltd. (NASDAQ:ESEA), Double Crown Resources Inc (OTCMKTS:DDCC) doesn’t come to mind. Indeed, DDCC doesn’t come to mind for many investors at all, as for all intents and purposes the company it is today didn’t exist until a few months ago. Age, however, has nothing to do with how disruptive it could prove to be for the likes of Euroseas or Star Bulk Carriers. Its underlying idea is brilliant, and it’s only a matter of time before it catches on within the commodity-transportation community.
What if there was a way to remove all the risks and hassle of shipping things like pellets or beans or salt – normally delivered in drybulk vessels – but still utilize all the flexibility of intermodal containers (the big 20-foot boxes that fit on a truck and a train and on top of the deck of a boat)? There is. It’s called Translock2 (Translock Squared). It was designed by Double Crown Resources, and it’s going to revolutionize the way many material companies deliver their goods.
The nearby image is a Translock2 container. It should look familiar – it’s essentially an intermodal container in terms of size and shape, but mechanically is a delivery and dispensing platform for drybulk goods. The design allows commodities like sand or livestock feed to be moved with all the flexibility of intermodal transportation, but without any of the headache of aggregating and splitting up those goods to get them properly shipped to their final destination. With Translock2, drybulk pu rchases are packaged up by the seller at the supply source, and then delivered — just as ordered — all the way to the buyer’s site in the container. No material is lost en route, and no distributor or middleman needs to bother splitting up one large order into smaller ones.
Its development is worth noting, as it explicitly circumvents the need for drybulk ves
- [By Ben Levisohn]
StarBulk Carriers (SBLK) and Safe Bulkers (SB) have more than tripled during the past 12 months, while Golden Ocean Group (GOGL) has more than doubled. So it must be time for an upgrade right?
That’s exactly what Morgan Stanley did last night, when they upgraded StarBulk Carriers, Safe Bulkers, and Golden Ocean Group to Overweight from Equal Weight, while lifting arguing that the “recovery is still not priced in.” They explain:
These companies have young fleets, mostly larger vessels, low cost structures, high operational and financial leverage to repricing in the dry bulk segment, and ability to start paying dividends in YE2018. Dry bulk stocks have nearly doubled YoY, but are still cheap in historical terms, in our view. The group trades at the historical 100-110% EV/Fleet Value, discounting no further increases in vessel values that are still ~50% below the long-term historical averages, significantly lagging the recent move in charter rates. We still see significant upside as charter rates increase, vessel values normalize, and capital returns to the industry as the group’s overall market cap increases.
Shares of StarBulk Carriers have climbed 16% to $11.72 at 3:50 p.m. today, while Safe Bulkers has jumped 13% to $2.13, and Golden Ocean Group has gained 9.6% to $8.13.
Too bad I recommended buying Golar LNG (GLNG) and avoiding the dry-bulk shippers back in November.
- [By Roberto Pedone]
Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) provides worldwide transportation of drybulk commodities through its vessel-owning subsidiaries for a range of customers and minor bulk cargoes including iron ore, coal, grain, cement and fertilizer. This stock closed up 7.9% at $10.58 in Monday’s trading session.
Monday’s Volume: 243,000
Three-Month Average Volume: 64,367
Volume % Change: 228%
From a technical perspective, SBLK jumped sharply higher here right above some near-term support at $9.47 with above-average volume. This stock has been uptrending strong for the last two months and change, with shares moving higher from its low of $5.37 to its recent high of $11.53. During that move, shares of SBLK have been consistently making higher lows and higher highs, which is bullish technical price action. That move has now pushed shares of SBLK within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if SBLK manages to take out its 52-week high at $11.53 and then once it clears some past resistance at $11.98 with high volume.
Traders should now look for long-biased trades in SBLK as long as it’s trending above near-term support at $9.47 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 64,367 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then SBLK will set up to enter new 52-week-high territory, which is bullish technical price action. Some possible upside targets off that breakout are its next major overhead resistance levels at $14 to $15.
technical analysis: Pretium Resources, Inc.(PVG)
- [By WWW.MONEYSHOW.COM]
Pretium Resources (PVG) remains on target with its development of what will be a world-class gold mine in British Columbia. The Brucejack property is slated to begin commercial production in mid-2017.