JPMorgan’s Jamie Baker and Nishant Mani argue that “downside risk appears diminutive” in airlines like Delta Air Lines (DAL), Southwest Airlines (LUV), and American Airlines (AAL)–even if there’s a recession. They explain why:
Were over a year into fuels decline, and investor fears concerning a breakdown in discipline havent materialized. Planned capacity is tighter. Buybacks have been more aggressive than modeled. Dividends have grown. The march towards investment grade continues. Granted, fuel retention metrics vary by airline, labor rates are being reset, and RASM is uninspiring. But we can identify no structural reason for selected stocks to be trading at 6-8x P/E, other than the market disagreeing with the heft and/or persistence of our (and consensus) forecasts, which rise again today. Put differently, we believe the main concern standing between investors and heady potential gains in U.S. airline equities is uncertainty around a recession. For those believing neither the U.S. nor the world slips into recession this year, we strongly urge you to consider our Overweight-rated names. Alternatively, for those leaning towards a recessionary outcome, we similarly urge you to ponder the industrys expected earnings power, given the abundance of evidence supporting a downturn with margins that actually should rival those of prior, cyclical peaks.
stock market futures: Atkore International Group Inc. (ATKR)
- [By Spencer Israel]
3. Atkor International Group Inc (NYSE: ATKR) – Five of the six analyst ratings on the manufacturing holding company have been bullish. With the stock showing very strong technical support at $16, and currently trading at $16.68, Stockal's confidence meter is at 90%.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
Flexing the barbell strategy to balance Safe Havens with more cyclical exposures. In our view, industrials investors should be positioning their portfolio with a barbell strategy, with half of the exposure in Safe Havens like General Electric, Xylem (XYL), Danaher, Honeywell International, Roper Technologies (ROP), and AMETEK (AME), and the other half selectively in the cyclical names that are better positioned today, such as Pentair, HD Supply Holdings (HDS),Actuant (ATU), Atkore International Group (ATKR), Ingersoll-Rand, and Eaton (ETN). We still believe risk-reward is mostly balanced and that the macro will remain choppy into 2017, supporting a positioning in the defensive names. But if investor sentiment improves on not-worse news and earnings results, the more cyclical names could fare better.
stock market futures: KLX Inc.(KLXI)
- [By Monica Gerson]
KLX Inc (NASDAQ: KLXI) is projected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.30 per share on revenue of $383.62 million.
Baozun Inc (ADR) (NASDAQ: BZUN) is expected to report its quarterly earnings at $0.19 per share on revenue of $610.98 million.
stock market futures: Sack Lunch Productions (SAKL)
- [By James E. Brumley]
Tuesday morning, Sack Lunch Productions Inc (OTCMKTS:SAKL) posted its results for the third quarter (ending September 30th) of the year. They were as strong as you might suspect, with the top line rolling in at $5.35 million, and $142,983 of that turning into net income. That top and bottom line were actually down a bit from the year-ago comparables, though investors should bear in mind that the third quarter of last year was an unusually tough comparison of $6.02 million in sales, and income of $688,845. That was a true breakout quarter for the company’s signature event – Slide the City – and many participants may have come simply to see what it was. The follow-up year (this year), SAKL may not have had the same curiosity factor compelling people to attend.
Sack Lunch Productions, for the unfamiliar, it’s the name behind event-oriented businesses called Slide the City, Lantern Fest, The Dirty Dash, the Color Me Rad 5K run, and most recently, the Trike Riot. Those are a 1000-foot Slip-n-Slide, a flying lantern release, a mud run, a color-splashing fun run, and a tricycle riding course for kids of all ages and sizes. The events aren’t just fun – they’re FUN!
They’re also surprisingly profitable. While attendance and per-participant revenue varies, with the average revenue of $30 per participant being at the low end of the scale ( as is the average event attendance of 2500), gross revenue of $75,000 per event is a low-end expectation…
… not that SAKL hasn’t done some more number crunching of its own. This year, it expects to host roughly 250 events and drive $17 million worth of revenue per event, up about 80% from 2015’s top line. Some of those are being put on by Sack Lunch Productions itself, while others are being hosted by franchisees. Whatever the case, that works out to average revenue of $72,000 per event, with the franchised ones being low-cost to no-cost events for SAKL.
Regardless, the trend is an impressive one, all
stock market futures: Capstead Mortgage Corporation(CMO)
- [By Amanda Alix]
As the spread between short-term and long-terminterest rates began to contract, strangling profits, competition for MBSes also caused prices to rise. Other agency mREITs were nervous, too. CYS Investments (NYSE: CYS ) noted at the time that QE3 turned the Federal Reserve into the sector’s biggest rival for mortgage bonds, and as spreads began to shrink, so did dividends. By December of last year, Annaly, Armour, and Capstead Mortgage (NYSE: CMO ) had all trimmed their payouts.
stock market futures: Lannett Co Inc(LCI)
- [By Ashley Moore]
We’ve compiled a list of the most heavily shorted stocks to show you which stocks have the most negative sentiment on the market…
Company Name (Ticker)Short FloatShare PriceHanwha Q Cells Co. Ltd. (Nasdaq ADR: HQCL)98.52%$ 8.88Renren Inc. (NYSE: RENN)91.59%$ 8.53Weight Watchers International Inc. (NYSE: WTW)67.92%$12.57INSYS Therapeutics Inc. (Nasdaq: INSY)66.71%$10.74Twilio Inc. (NYSE: TWLO)66.34%$33.17Nutanix Inc. (Nasdaq: NTNX)65.65%$31.96Fitbit Inc. (NYSE: FIT)55.15%$ 6.06Weibo Corp. (Nasdaq ADR: WB)53.83%$55.26RPC Inc. (NYSE: RES)53.62%$21.19Straight Path Communications Inc. (NYSEMKT: STRP)49.27%$34.79Momo Inc. (Nasdaq ADR: MOMO)48.63%$26.80Seritage Growth Properties (NYSE: SRG)46.91%$44.87Lannett Company Inc. (NYSE: LCI)45.46%$23.00Gogo Inc. (Nasdaq: GOGO)43.98%$ 9.10Altisource Portfolio Solutions SA (Nasdaq: ASPS)42.78%$22.73Cheetah Mobile Inc. (NYSE ADR: CMCM)40.86%$10.00
Some investors think the only way to profit from the stock market is to buy stocks and wait for the price to rise. However, these investors are missing out on the massive profit opportunity that comes from shorting stocks.
- [By Lisa Levin]
Edwards Lifesciences Corp (NYSE: EW) announced plans to buy Valtech Cardio for $340 million in cash and stock. The company also announced a $1 billion buyback plan. Epizyme Inc (NASDAQ: EPZM) disclosed that it has received Fast Track designation for tazemetostat. Athene Holding Ltd. (NYSE: ATH) reported that it has priced its 23.8 million share IPO between $38 per share and $42 per share. Lannett Company, Inc. (NYSE: LCI) reported the approval for its Metaxalone Tablets USP, 800 mg.